Model Record

Picks posted daily at 8am PT before first pitch

Pilot Record

Backtest

Pilot Period (April 13 - June 11, 2026)

YRFI Strong + Mild (70+) — official record

152-97 · n=249

61%

Strong YRFI (80+) — high conviction

22-1264.7%

Mild YRFI (70-79) — worth considering

130-8560.5%

Mild NRFI (70-79) — worth considering

68-6252.3%

Lean NRFI (65-69) — reference only

91-8053.2%

Lean YRFI (65-69) — reference only

41-3951.3%

Lean tier (65-69) shown for reference — not counted in official record. All 65+ picks: 352-278 (55.9%).

Backtested using the current model (validated June 12, 2026) against 60 days of completed games. Official live public record begins June 12, 2026.

Live Record

Official · since June 12, 2026

70+ Edge Score · Mild & Strong tiers

133-119

W-L · 252 graded

52.8%

⚠

Lean picks (65–69) are NOT part of our official record

Our model has not validated edge at this tier. Only Mild (70–79) and Strong (80+) picks count toward the W-L above. Lean picks (163 graded, 75–88) appear in the day-by-day results and tier table below for transparency only — they are dimmed and labeled ref only.

Last 30 Days

30 days agoToday

≥60% win rate50-59%<50%

Record by Confidence Tier

★ counts toward official record

Tier	W-L	Win%	Total
★Strong (80+)	17-12	59%	29
★Mild (70-79)	116-107	52%	223
Lean (65-69)reference	75-88	46%	163
Skip (<65)	292-293	50%	585

YRFI vs NRFI

70+ picks only

YRFI

71-55n=12656.3%

NRFI

62-64n=12649.2%

V7 NRFI-Strong Signal Record

Independent cohort

Games where V7's model rated NRFI as a strong signal — tracked separately from the official V5 record. Broken out by V5's stance.

All V7 NRFI-Strongn=112

69-4361.6%

✓ V5 Agrees (NRFI)n=103

64-3962.1%

⚡ V5 Disagrees (picked YRFI)n=4

2-250.0%

⚡ V5 No Pick (both skipped)n=5

3-260.0%

Tuesday, October 27, 2026

Milwaukee Brewers @ Tampa Bay Rays

ref only

2026-10-27 · Scoreless 1st inning

YRFI

55SKIP

NRFI

68W

Last updated: 2026-10-27

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