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Model Record

Picks posted daily at 8am PT before first pitch

Pilot Record

Backtest

Pilot Period (April 13 - June 11, 2026)

YRFI Strong + Mild (70+) โ€” official record

152-97 ยท n=249

61%

Strong YRFI (80+) โ€” high conviction
22-1264.7%
Mild YRFI (70-79) โ€” worth considering
130-8560.5%
Mild NRFI (70-79) โ€” worth considering
68-6252.3%
Lean NRFI (65-69) โ€” reference only
91-8053.2%
Lean YRFI (65-69) โ€” reference only
41-3951.3%

Lean tier (65-69) shown for reference โ€” not counted in official record. All 65+ picks: 352-278 (55.9%).

Backtested using the current model (validated June 12, 2026) against 60 days of completed games. Official live public record begins June 12, 2026.

Live Record

Official ยท since June 12, 2026

70+ Edge Score ยท Mild & Strong tiers

137-123

W-L ยท 260 graded

52.7%

โš 

Lean picks (65โ€“69) are NOT part of our official record

Our model has not validated edge at this tier. Only Mild (70โ€“79) and Strong (80+) picks count toward the W-L above. Lean picks (150 graded, 71โ€“79) appear in the day-by-day results and tier table below for transparency only โ€” they are dimmed and labeled ref only.

Last 30 Days

30 days agoToday
โ‰ฅ60% win rate50-59%<50%

Record by Confidence Tier

โ˜… counts toward official record
TierW-LWin%Total
โ˜…Strong (80+)
15-1452%29
โ˜…Mild (70-79)
122-10953%231
Lean (65-69)reference
71-7947%150
Skip (<65)
293-29750%590

YRFI vs NRFI

70+ picks only
YRFI
66-56n=12254.1%
NRFI
71-67n=13851.4%

V7 NRFI-Strong Signal Record

Independent cohort

Games where V7's model rated NRFI as a strong signal โ€” tracked separately from the official V5 record. Broken out by V5's stance.

All V7 NRFI-Strongn=86
58-2867.4%
โœ“ V5 Agrees (NRFI)n=79
53-2667.1%
โšก V5 Disagrees (picked YRFI)n=4
2-250.0%
โšก V5 No Pick (both skipped)n=3
3-0100.0%

Thursday, September 10, 2026

3 Skip

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago White Sox

2026-09-10 ยท Scoreless 1st inning

YRFI
50SKIP
NRFI
38SKIP

Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves

ref only

2026-09-10 ยท Scoreless 1st inning

YRFI
60SKIP
NRFI
65W

Houston Astros @ Philadelphia Phillies

2026-09-10 ยท Scoreless 1st inning

YRFI
60SKIP
NRFI
42SKIP

Colorado Rockies @ New York Yankees

2026-09-10 ยท Yankees scored (2-0)

YRFI
58SKIP
NRFI
31SKIP

Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners

ref only

2026-09-10 ยท Scoreless 1st inning

YRFI
60SKIP
NRFI
69W

Last updated: 2026-09-10